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Total Industry Volume Is Expected To Fall To 710,000 Units In 2024 - Kenanga

Anis

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The recently launched Sixth-Gen Honda CR-V is priced from RM159,900.


As the rationalization of fuel subsidies is expected to negatively impact the demand for mid-market models, Kenanga Research downgraded the automotive sector to "neutral" and predicted that total industry volume (TIV) would drop to 8% to 710,000 units in CY2024.
However, the research firm stated that it remains optimistic about vehicle sales in the affordable segment, with buyers, particularly those in the B40 group, avoiding the impact of subsidy rationalisation and potentially benefiting from the implementation of the progressive wage model.

"Our top pick in the sector is MBM Resources Bhd (outperform; target price: RM5.50), which is a good proxy for the low-cost, fuel-efficient Perodua vehicle brand." 6548_1679474113-full-(2).jpg6548_1679474108-full.jpg

Perodua leads the new model race (in terms of volume) with the launch of the all-new Perodua Axia.

"It also offers an attractive dividend yield of about 11%," according to the statement.

Perodua and Proton models have also been selling well, according to Kenanga. When compared to non-national brands, they are reasonably priced and have cutting-edge safety and technological features.

LRzOg2ce_1695358791-full.jpg9963_1701169036-full.jpg

Perodua, in particular, leads the new model race (in terms of volume) with the launch of the all-new Perodua Axia, which will be followed by two more facelifted models this year and one new model in early 2024.
“On the other hand, Proton recently launched the first mild-hybrid electric vehicle (MHEV) for the local brand, its all-new Proton X90, and its first sedan under Geely partnership, all-new Proton S70 (C-segment sedan at the price of non-nationals B-segment), Proton-SMART (BEV), and five face-lifted models, all within CY23,” it said. 9963_1701167063-full.jpg9963_1701169036-full.jpg

Furthermore, Kenanga stated that new battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will benefit from SST exemption and other EV incentives until CY2025 for complete built-up units and CY2027 for complete knocked-down (CKD) units.
“BEVs’ new registration had leapt significantly for the past two years (from 274 units in CY21 to over 3,400 units in CY22 and 9,000 units by Nov 2023) and is on track to meet national target for EVs and hybrid vehicles which are 15% of total industry volume (TIV) by CY30, and 38% of TIV by CY40. DtoNs9fL_1700557196-full.jpg

“Meanwhile, the government’s pledge to enable charge point operators (CPOs) to secure faster approvals for installation provides comfort as currently only 1,434 EV charging stations have been built to-date,” it added.

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Written By

Anis

Previously in banking and e commerce before she realized nothing makes her happier than a revving engine and gleaming tyres........

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JPJ Running Numbers

KUALA LUMPUR

VPG3557

SELANGOR

BSF4862

JOHOR

JYA4580

PULAU PINANG

PRR4765

PERAK

ANW6448

PAHANG

CFC1284

KEDAH

KGA9320

NEGERI SEMBILAN

NEG2305

KOTA KINABALU

SJL2927

KUCHING

QAB5093L

Last updated 17 Jun, 2025

Fuel Price

Petrol

RON 95

RM 2.05

RON 97

RM 3.07

RON 100

RM 5.00

VPR

RM 6.23

Diesel

EURO 5 B10

RM 2.74

EURO 5 B7

RM 2.94

Last updated 12 Jun, 2025

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